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The Second Domino: The Comparables for Suter


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Photo Credit: Erik S. Lesser/Associated Press

After the Nashville Predators signed Pekka Rinne for a franchise record 7 year/$49 million contract, the next of the core players to sign might be Ryan Suter. It has been confirmed by David Poile that Suter’s agent is to meet with management later on this month, but in the meantime, here is a quick look at some comparables in contract and output for Ryan Suter.

Season       | G | A |  P  |  +/-  | RelCorsi
2010-2011  | 4 | 35 | 39 | +20 |  +8.9
2009-2010 | 4 | 33 | 37 |   +4  |  +5.3
2008-2009 | 7 | 38 | 45 |  -16  |  +10.9
2007-2008 | 7 | 24 | 31 |   +3  |  +9.1
2006-2007 | 8 | 16 | 24 | +10 |  N/A

Ryan Suter is a complete defenseman all the way down the numbers. Aside from the off year in plus/minus totals on 08-09, Suter has been everything a team could possibly want on the blue-line. He has never had a negative Corsi rating and his point production is relatively stable.

After compiling a list of comparables based on Goals, Assists, and RelativeCorsi, the following players stood out as equals to Suter’s on-ice performance:

Player – Cap Hit
Brian Rafalski – $6M
Kimmo Timonen – $6.3M
Brent Seabrook – $5.8M
Duncan Keith – $5.5M
Matt Carle – $3.4M
Chris Pronger – $4.9M
Dennis Wideman – $3.9M
Alexander Edler – $3.25M
Dan Hamhuis – $4.5M
Jaroslav Spacek – $3.8M
James Wisniewski – $5.5M

This averages to roughly a $4.8M cap hit that is comparable to Suter’s performance over the last 5 seasons. With all the attention Suter has been getting from around the league, and especially after his play for Team USA at the Olympics, many teams including and most especially the Predators are looking to lock him up for the long term. When Poile takes the meeting with Suter’s agent, he will have much to discuss and compare for an upcoming contract for Ryan Suter.

It begs the question how these other defensemen’s stats and salaries will effect the signing of Suter in the short and long term. A contract of 5yrs/$27M-$30M is not out of the question for Ryan Suter. The bigger question is can a contract like this and the recently concluded deal for Rinne hinder the chances of Nashville signing the third domino, Shea Weber? What say you?

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